UK banks expect demand for mortgages to increase in the second quarter as the end of the longest cold snap in 30 years renews interest in the housing market, the Bank of England said.
A net 39.8 percent of respondents to the central bank’s credit conditions survey said demand will rise, up from a reading of minus 23.5 in the first quarter, according to the report released in London today. A net 3.2 percent said the availability of secured credit will be little changed from the first quarter. ”Lenders expected demand for secured lending to increase over the next three months as the effects from these temporary factors waned,” the report said. “Some lenders commented that much of the fall in demand in the first quarter was driven by temporary factors, such as the cold weather and the ending of the stamp duty holiday.” The recovery in Britain’s housing market has shown signs of faltering as upcoming elections make people more wary of buying or selling property. Prime Minister Gordon Brown’s Labour Party and the opposition Conservatives are trying to convince voters they are best placed to cut a budget deficit without strangling growth. At about 12 percent of gross domestic product, the shortfall rivals that of Greece. Lenders forecast “little change” in housing market conditions, the report said. Recent data on house prices have sent different signals. Hometrack Ltd. and Nationwide Building Society both said house prices rose in March, while Lloyds Banking Group Plc’s Halifax division says the average cost of a home fell 1.5 percent in February. The Conservatives had a seven-point lead over Labour with 38 percent support, though that’s not enough for a majority in Parliament, according to a YouGov poll for the Sun newspaper yesterday. Brown must hold an election by June. Brown’s government is trying to keep the housing recovery on track. Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling last week scrapped a tax on house purchases for first-time buyers spending 250,000 pounds or less. Darling said the policy will mean nine in 10 first-time buyers will avoid the levy.
Source: March edition of the Email4Property.co.uk newsletter







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